These predictions provide a strategic context that will enable CIOs to lead their organizations through a period of multiplied innovation and disruption over the next 5 years. They also lay out IDC’s vision for the 10 most important shifts that will happen in IT organizations over the next 60 months and will help senior IT executives in the formation of their strategic IT plans.
The 10 predictions highlighted in this document help show the increasingly complex landscape faced by government agencies. But it also shows the significant potential that these new solutions can hold.
Top 10 2019 Predictions for National Governments:
- Prediction 1: By 2022, 50% of national governments will have meaningful open data platforms for at least one sector of government or its economy, allowing for service improvements, innovation, and transparency.
- Prediction 2: AI will be deployed by 60% of national governments by 2023 for datacenter management, service and information accuracy, and improved constituent interactions.
- Prediction 3: To prevent AI-related privacy and ethical crises, by 2021, 50% of democratic governments will develop and deploy policies to prevent algorithmic bias and unethical data use.
- Prediction 4: Cryptocurrencies will become a relevant currency for illegal activities; by 2020, 20% of national governments will set up taskforces to combat money laundering enabled by blockchain.
- Prediction 5: Rapidly scaling computing power holds big opportunity and threats, entity analytics hands power to both good and bad actors, and by 2022, quantum computing will threaten highly targeted (<1%) blockchains.
- Prediction 6: Strategic misrepresentation of news and events is a global government challenge; by 2020, 40% of governments will encourage bipartisan groups to isolate fake news and encourage metadata for news sources.
- Prediction 7: By 2022, 50% of national governments will deploy industry practices like “Technology Business Management” to quantify acquisitions, transitioning from purchasing hardware to software outcomes.
- Prediction 8: By 2023, to enable timely decision making, 45% of national government will deploy edge intelligence and perform initial data processing of IoT, networks, or other devices at the point of action.
- Prediction 9: Blockchain has great potential to confirm voting accuracy, but broad acceptance is challenging; by 2020, 15% of regions will run blockchain voting pilots; and adoption will expand 5% each year after that.
- Prediction 10: By 2022, 60% of national governments will update legacy industrial control systems to protect critical infrastructure, such as dams, transportation systems, and nuclear power plants, from cyberattacks.
Government agencies are increasingly looking to systems integrators to help them offer powerful new solution sets and meet citizen expectations.
For context around these predictions, including the IT impact and guidance on how to integrate each prediction in the digital strategy of the enterprise, click here to view IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Governments 2019 Predictions web conference on demand.
Adelaide O’Brien, Research Director, IDC Government Insights