Never before have there been more changes to tools, processes, and deployment environments happening in parallel. If the shift from on-premises to off-premises computing was not enough, few existing applications will become digital-native applications without dramatic updates. We will end up leaving some venerable applications behind, but we can also expect a broad range of exciting new applications — some of them bordering on scary smart — in the next five years.
Top 10 Developer & DevOps 2019 Predictions
These are the top 10 2019 predictions for Developer & DevOps:
- Prediction 1: By 2024, 60% of firms will have adopted ML/AI analytics for DevOps, accelerating software delivery and improving quality, security, and compliance via data integration, auto triggers, and predictive ALM.
- Prediction 2: By 2024, a new class of developers that build applications without writing code will account for 20% of all developers. These developers will accelerate DX.
- Prediction 3: By 2024, DevSecOps will be automated to the extent that 60% of new applications will have comprehensive security and compliance assessment included in the continuous delivery pipeline.
- Prediction 4: By 2022, over half of the code in 75% of new apps will be from external sources. The need to improve developer productivity is driving the use of open source and commercial code repositories.
- Prediction 5: By 2023, 25% of firms will use AI in 40% of development — as well as in CI, code reviews, testing, provisioning, and management — and AI guidance will be part of architecture design and data strategy.
- Prediction 6: By 2020, tool innovation will have improved visually guided functionality, using widgets or visual frameworks, and traditional developers will use modeling in 60% of the apps they develop.
- Prediction 7: By 2024, quantum computing advances will have enabled simulation, modeling, and analytics that are too complex for classic computers and will have overtaken and displaced 20% of classic AI/ML tools.
- Prediction 8: By 2022, the acceleration of legacy app modernization and net-new development will lead to 35% of production apps being cloud native — utilizing microservices, containers, and dynamic orchestration.
- Prediction 9: By 2021, the key consideration for 75% of enterprises deploying custom solutions will shift from cloud platform choice to an optimization of cost, performance, best compute option, and best location.
- Prediction 10: By 2022, the top 4 clouds will host 80% of PaaS/IaaS deployments, while firms will work to avoid lock-in on 60% of their apps via multicloud, least common denominator, OSS, and cloud-native strategies.
Learn more about the 2019 Developer & DevOps Predictions
For context around these predictions, including the IT impact and guidance on how to integrate each prediction in the digital strategy of the enterprise, view the IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer & DevOps 2019 Predictions web conference on-demand.
